HKMA Half-Yearly Monetary & Financial Stability Report March 2023: Bright Outlook for Hong Kong Economy, Uncertainties on Future United States Interest Rates, Challenges to Banking Industry

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HKMA Half-Yearly Monetary & Financial Stability Report March 2023: Bright Outlook for Hong Kong Economy, Uncertainties on Future United States Interest Rates, Challenges to Banking Industry

29th March 2023 | Hong Kong

Hong Kong central bank Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) has released the Half-Yearly Monetary & Financial Stability Report March 2023, providing key summary on Hong Kong & China Mainland outlook, exchange rate & capital flows, monetary environment & interest rates, equity market, debt market, property markets and banking sector.  HKMA 2023 Outlook: “Bright outlook for Hong Kong economy, uncertainties on future United States interest rates, challenges to banking industry.”  See below for more info | Read HKMA Half-Yearly Monetary & Financial Stability Report March 2023 here

“ Bright Outlook for Hong Kong Economy, Uncertainties on Future United States Interest Rates, Challenges to Banking Industry “

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HKMA Half-Yearly Monetary & Financial Stability Report March 2023

Summary and Overview 

The global growth prospect is expected to weaken going into 2023. The stubbornly high inflation rate, the likelihood of a significant growth slowdown in the US and the Euro area amid the cumulated monetary tightening since 2022, and the recent emergence of banking stress in the US and Europe are increasing the uncertainty of economic outcomes and hence financial market volatility. 

Hong Kong’s exchange rate and interbank market continued to trade in a smooth and orderly manner. Following US policy rate hikes, many banks raised their Best Lending Rates. With total deposits increasing modestly in the seven months since end-June 2022, there was no notable sign of outflows from the Hong Kong banking system. Partly reflecting subdued credit demand, bank credit declined modestly during the same period. The residential property market was under pressure in the second half of 2022, before showing some signs of stabilising in early 2023. 

Looking ahead, while the relaxation of COVID-19 restrictions should brighten the outlook for the Hong Kong economy, uncertainties related to future US interest rate adjustments, the growth outlook of major advanced economies, and the lingering geopolitical risks, will pose challenges to the banking sector. Banks should stay vigilant against the impacts of these risk factors on the asset quality of their loan portfolios. 

Read HKMA Half-Yearly Monetary & Financial Stability Report March 2023 here

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